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(2021) Multi-Pollutant and Sediment Dispersion Modelling in Saumlaki Waters and the Timor Sea Region

CORZ Indonesia | Research & Studies One Development, Multiple Environmental Sources—All Transported by the Moving Ocean Large-scale coastal developments interact with the marine environment through more than one pathway. There may be process-water discharges. There may be dredgi…

CORZ Indonesia | Research & Studies

One Development, Multiple Environmental Sources—All Transported by the Moving Ocean

Check out some other model outputs on YouTube @CORZIndonesia

Large-scale coastal developments interact with the marine environment through more than one pathway.

There may be process-water discharges.

There may be dredging.

There may be disposal of dredged material.

There may be jetty construction and other marine works.

And all of these activities occur within an ocean that changes with tides, currents, and monsoonal forcing.

Environmental assessment must therefore move beyond the simple question:

“Is material being released into the sea?”

It needs to ask:

What material is being released?
What is its source mechanism?
How does it interact with marine circulation?
Where can it be transported?
How does dispersion differ between the West and East Monsoons?
And how can numerical results support environmental-impact assessment?

In 2021, CORZ Indonesia conducted Research & Studies involving numerical modelling of several discharge and sediment-transport scenarios in Saumlaki waters to support the INPEX Masela ANDAL assessment.

The study included six principal scenarios:

  • Brine Water Dispersion — West Monsoon
    • Brine Water Dispersion — East Monsoon
  • Sediment Dispersion from the Dumping Area — West Monsoon
    • Sediment Dispersion from the Dumping Area — East Monsoon
  • Dredging Sediment Release at the OLNG / Pioneer Jetty — West Monsoon
    • Dredging Sediment Release at the OLNG / Pioneer Jetty — East Monsoon

Together, they form an integrated framework:

SOURCE × MATERIAL × HYDRODYNAMICS × MONSOON × RECEIVING WATERS

This is the type of modelling approach required when a development interacts with the sea through multiple environmental pathways.

2021: Environmental Assessment of the Masela Development Was at a Critical Stage

The timing of the CORZ study is highly relevant.

On 9 March 2021, ANTARA reported that INPEX was undertaking three additional surveys to complete the environmental-impact documentation for the Abadi Gas Field development.

One of those activities was a metocean service visit specifically covering waves, temperature, and currents in the Tanimbar Islands region during March–April 2021.

ANTARA — INPEX conducts additional surveys for the Masela Block environmental assessment

Earlier that year, ANTARA reported SKK Migas emphasising that the Masela AMDAL process should be properly monitored, including in response to community concerns regarding possible environmental and socio-economic impacts.

These media reports were not reports about CORZ modelling results.

They provide independent historical context showing that environmental and metocean assessment was a significant component of the development process during the same period.

From Project Activity to Environmental Pathway

For a major marine development, environmental assessment needs to connect:

PROJECT ACTIVITY

to:

ENVIRONMENTAL SOURCE

then:

MARINE TRANSPORT

and finally:

THE RECEIVING ENVIRONMENT.

Conceptually:

PROJECT DESIGN
↓
SOURCE DEFINITION
↓
HYDRODYNAMIC MODEL
↓
ADVECTION / DISPERSION / SETTLING
↓
SPATIAL–TEMPORAL DISTRIBUTION
↓

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT INFORMATION

Numerical modelling therefore converts an engineering activity into a physical question about what may happen in the marine environment through space and time.

Three Sources, Three Different Physical Questions

The 2021 CORZ study did not treat all marine releases as a single generic pollutant.

Three different environmental-source mechanisms were distinguished.

BRINE WATER

involves the dispersion and mixing of discharged water with a salinity characteristic different from the receiving sea.

DUMPED SEDIMENT

involves sediment released during disposal within a designated dumping area.

DREDGING SEDIMENT RELEASE

involves sediment resuspended by direct disturbance of the seabed during dredging.

These processes share one ocean.

Their source mechanisms are not the same.

DIFFERENT SOURCE → DIFFERENT MODEL QUESTION.

  1. Brine Water Dispersion — West Monsoon

The first scenario evaluated:

BRINE WATER × WEST MONSOON.

Brine is water with relatively high dissolved-salt content compared with the surrounding receiving water.

Once discharged, the environmental question extends beyond the condition at the outfall.

The plume undergoes:

DISCHARGE → TRANSPORT → MIXING → DISPERSION → DILUTION.

Conceptually:

BRINE SOURCE
↓
MARINE DISCHARGE
↓
HYDRODYNAMIC TRANSPORT
↓
MIXING & DISPERSION
↓

SALINITY-RELATED PLUME

The West Monsoon simulation therefore provides one seasonal representation of how the marine circulation interacts with the discharge.

  1. Brine Water Dispersion — East Monsoon

The source remains comparable.

The seasonal hydrodynamics change.

BRINE WATER × EAST MONSOON.

The fundamental principle is:

**SAME SOURCE

  • DIFFERENT SEASONAL CIRCULATION
    = POTENTIALLY DIFFERENT DISPERSION.**

A single-season model cannot necessarily represent the entire range of marine conditions.

Comparing West and East Monsoons provides information on:

SEASONAL SENSITIVITY.

Hydrodynamics Is the Transport Engine

ANTARA's 2021 report specifically noted that INPEX's metocean survey included waves, temperature, and currents in the Tanimbar region.

That is physically significant.

For marine dispersion:

CURRENT IS THE TRANSPORT ENGINE.

Current direction influences advective pathways.

Current velocity contributes to transport rate.

Mixing redistributes concentrations.

Seasonal forcing can modify all of them.

Knowing only the source therefore does not tell us:

WHERE THE OCEAN MAY CARRY IT.

  1. Sediment Dispersion from the Dumping Area — West Monsoon

The next component evaluated sediment disposal at a designated dumping area.

Dumping does not necessarily mean:

material enters the water → material immediately remains at the seabed.

During descent, fine fractions can interact with the water column.

The pathway can include:

DUMPING SOURCE
↓
SEDIMENT RELEASE
↓
DESCENT THROUGH THE WATER COLUMN
↓
CURRENT TRANSPORT
↓
DISPERSION
↓
SETTLING
↓

DEPOSITION

Numerical modelling connects the dumping location with the surrounding area of potential influence.

  1. Sediment Dispersion from the Dumping Area — East Monsoon

The same type of source was then represented under East Monsoon conditions.

This is necessary because the dumping coordinates alone do not define the sediment footprint.

The footprint emerges through:

SOURCE × SEDIMENT PROPERTIES × CURRENT × TIME.

A changed circulation field can alter transport direction, dispersion, and settling patterns.

A Dumping Area Is Not an Isolated Polygon

On an engineering plan, a dumping area may be represented as a fixed polygon.

To the ocean, however, it is part of a connected moving system.

Water flows through and around it.

The environmental questions therefore include:

Where can fine released material travel?

How far may it be transported before settling?

Which receiving waters are hydrodynamically connected?

How does this relationship change with the monsoon?

Numerical modelling transforms:

A POLYGON ON A PLAN

into:

A DYNAMIC SOURCE IN A MOVING OCEAN.

  1. Dredging Sediment Release at the OLNG / Pioneer Jetty — West Monsoon

The third source mechanism was associated with dredging at the:

OLNG / PIONEER JETTY.

Dredging differs fundamentally from dumping.

In dredging, suspended sediment originates from disturbance of the seabed at the work location.

The pathway becomes:

DREDGING
↓
SEABED DISTURBANCE
↓
SEDIMENT RELEASE
↓
SUSPENDED-SEDIMENT PLUME
↓
HYDRODYNAMIC TRANSPORT
↓
DILUTION & SETTLING

The West Monsoon model represents plume behaviour under one seasonal hydrodynamic regime.

  1. Dredging Sediment Release at the OLNG / Pioneer Jetty — East Monsoon

The simulation was then evaluated under the East Monsoon.

CORZ could therefore compare:

THE SAME TYPE OF DREDGING ACTIVITY

under:

TWO DIFFERENT MARINE CONDITIONS.

Questions can then be structured around differences in:

plume direction • potential area of influence • dilution pattern • transport pathway • settling behaviour.

The model—not assumption—should provide the answer.

Marine Infrastructure Was a Central Part of the Masela Development Concept

Public consultation on the Masela environmental assessment described a development concept involving subsea wells, offshore production facilities, a subsea gas pipeline, an onshore LNG plant, and an LNG loading jetty/terminal.

ANTARA — Public consultation and environmental assessment for the Abadi LNG development in Saumlaki

In June 2021, ANTARA also reported an official visit to the planned LNG-port location near Saumlaki as part of preparations for the national strategic project.

These reports do not establish that the specific Pioneer Jetty represented in the CORZ model is identical to a facility described by the media.

They provide contextual evidence that marine and coastal infrastructure formed an important component of the overall project.

Dredging Source and Dumping Source Should Not Be Confused

The distinction is fundamental.

DREDGING SOURCE

results from disturbance of sediment at the excavation site.

DUMPING SOURCE

results from placement or release of dredged material at another designated area.

Their:

source geometry • location • release mechanism • duration • sediment behaviour

can differ.

Therefore, treating them as separate modelling scenarios provides a more defensible environmental assessment.

Six Scenarios—Not One Generic Plume

The overall study can be expressed as:

Environmental Source West Monsoon East Monsoon
Brine Water Scenario 1 Scenario 2
Sediment Dumping Scenario 3 Scenario 4
Dredging Release — OLNG/Pioneer Jetty Scenario 5 Scenario 6

Thus:

3 SOURCES × 2 MONSOONS = 6 SCENARIOS.

This is one of the strongest features of the CORZ study.

The objective is not simply:

“model a plume.”

It is:

separate the source mechanisms, compare seasonal forcing, and understand each environmental pathway independently.

From Source to Receptor

A marine environmental model becomes increasingly useful when it moves from:

SOURCE

to:

TRANSPORT

to:

DISPERSION

and eventually to:

RECEPTOR.

Potential receptors may include:

coastal waters • fisheries grounds • mangrove systems • coral environments • navigation waters • community coastlines • marine facilities • intake locations

Each receptor can have a different level and type of sensitivity.

Numerical results can therefore provide one physical layer within a broader environmental-impact assessment.

Saumlaki Is More Than a Project Location

In June 2021, ANTARA reported government efforts to optimise the Integrated Marine and Fisheries Centre in Saumlaki to strengthen local economic activity and fisheries.

ANTARA — Optimising Saumlaki's integrated marine and fisheries centre

This context matters.

The surrounding sea supports more than energy infrastructure.

It also supports:

FISHERIES • COASTAL LIVELIHOODS • NAVIGATION • ECOSYSTEMS • LOCAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY.

Environmental assessment therefore operates at the intersection of:

DEVELOPMENT

and:

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION.

Numerical Modelling Does Not Replace ANDAL—It Strengthens the Physical Analysis

A model is not an ANDAL document by itself.

It is a scientific tool capable of supporting particular environmental questions.

For example:

Where can a plume develop?

How does monsoon forcing change the transport pathway?

How does dumping differ from dredging?

Where should monitoring be prioritised?

Which scenarios require closer assessment?

Model results can then be integrated with:

FIELD OBSERVATION + WATER QUALITY + ECOLOGY + SOCIAL INFORMATION + ENGINEERING DESIGN + REGULATORY CRITERIA

to support a more complete environmental assessment.

From Dispersion Modelling to Monitoring Design

One of the most practical applications of modelling is more targeted environmental monitoring.

Without a model:

monitor mainly near the source.

With a model:

monitor along plausible transport pathways.

The workflow becomes:

SOURCE
↓
MODELLED TRANSPORT PATHWAY
↓
POTENTIAL EXPOSURE AREA
↓
MONITORING LOCATIONS
↓
FIELD VERIFICATION

Numerical modelling therefore does not eliminate the need for field measurement.

It helps determine:

where field measurement may provide the greatest value.

Multi-Source Pollution Requires Multi-Scenario Modelling.

Brine water is not sediment.

Dumped sediment is not the same source as dredging-induced suspended sediment.

The West Monsoon is not the East Monsoon.

Treating all of them as one condition would remove important physical distinctions.

The 2021 Saumlaki study reflects the CORZ Indonesia Research & Studies approach:

Define Every Source.
Understand the Hydrodynamics.
Separate the Processes.
Compare the Monsoons.
Model the Dispersion.
Identify the Receiving Waters.
Support Better Environmental Decisions.

Because the correct question is not simply:

“Will something be discharged into the sea?”

It is:

“What is being released, when is it released, and where can the ocean carry it?”

CORZ Indonesia for Research & Studies

Hydrodynamic Modelling • Brine Dispersion Modelling • Sediment Transport • Dredging Plume Modelling • Dumping-Area Assessment • ANDAL/AMDAL Modelling Support • Marine Environmental Assessment

Coastal-Ocean Research Zone (CORZ) Indonesia provides research, modelling, analysis, and technical solutions for coastal and ocean environments.

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CORZIndonesia
Website: https://corz.co.id
Email: info@corz.co.id

© 2026 CORZ Indonesia. All Rights Reserved.

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